Lawson will almost definitely face a Jacksonville-based
contender in the Democratic primary. The Florida Times-Union reports that several
black current and former elected officials in the Duval County area are
interested in running for CD5 if Brown decides not to seek reelection in that
district.
According to Times-Union reporter Tia Mitchell: “State Rep. Mia Jones, a Jacksonville Democrat, said she is open to campaigning for the seat if Brown does not…State Sen. Audrey Gibson, another Jacksonville Democrat, said people had asked her to consider running if Brown doesn’t. Former state Rep. Tony Hill, D-Jacksonville, told the Miami Herald that he also would run for the seat if Brown does not.”
Jones is a FAMU alumna.
A Tallahassee-based candidate such as Lawson could have an
advantage despite the fact that Duval County has 58 percent of the registered
voters in CD5. Political consultant Matthew Isbell says that recent voter turnout
in Duval has been smaller than the combined voter turnout in Leon and Gadsden
Counties. Lawson represented Leon and Gadsden for 28 years in the Florida
Legislature.