CD5, which Brown has represented since 1992, ran north-south
from Duval County to Orange County until the Florida Supreme Court voted 5-2 on
December 2 to approve a new set of Congressional district maps in compliance
with the Fair Districts Amendment. The new maps included a redrawn District 5
that runs from Duval to Gadsden Counties. The new CD5 remains a minority-access
seat with about 45 percent black voters.
From Mitchell’s column: “Busting myths about Corrine Brown’s
redistricting battle”:
I think I owe it to you, especially those of you living
within the new or old boundaries of Brown’s District 5, to help separate fact
from fiction. So let’s get to it.
MYTH 1
Under a new District 5, an African-American cannot win.
Let me start by saying that no one has a crystal ball, and
in Florida politics anything can happen. So no one can guarantee an
African-American will be elected in a new District 5. But that is different
than saying one cannot win.
The standard the Florida Supreme Court considered when
approving the new east-west district lines was whether there were enough black
voters that, if they generally vote in a bloc, then can elect a candidate of
their choice to Congress. And generally speaking, black voters will elect an
African-American Democrat when given the choice.
Analysts referred to voter turnout data from previous
elections, mainly the 2010 U.S. Senate race and 2012 presidential election. And
they have determined that the seat will be won in the Democratic primary, and
in the primary the majority of voters are black…
MYTH 2
The counting of prison inmates when drawing the boundary
lines improperly skews election predictions.
Yes, the inmates in prisons were counted in population
estimates that help divide the state into 27 congressional districts. That is a
long-standing, yet controversial part of the redistricting process. There are
arguments for and against counting prisoners when drawing boundary lines.
But that has nothing to do with the voter turnout data used
to determine whether a seat is truly one that will give minorities a chance to
elect someone who looks like them to Congress…
Read the full column here.